2013年7月12日金曜日

Post hoc, ergo propter hoc

I considered this issue on the basis of upper words.

The colored people tend to have been seen as the inferior races. And the discrimination against those people, especially against black people is deeply rooted, continuing and will be never disappeared as long as there are differences of skin colors. the custom have been inherited from generation to generation. And even now, there are many children suffering from being forced to work regardless of their wills because of the deep rooted stereotypes. So the old custom must be the cause of colored people.

The upper word is the word that means the fallacious claim, or assumption that because A occured after B, B must have been the cause of A.

There are some refferences like this, I suspect that we should believe those info because of the simple reasoning.

illustrating "post hoc, ergo propter hoc": The Dark Side of Chocolate

 the video shows how child labourers are under the severe situation. it treats a topic of child labor relating to chocolate we usually eat. from this video, we can understand what is "post hoc, ergo propter hoc". watch the video and then continue to reading.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=KXWFXeIZY9g


 after i watched the video, a logical inference can be thought.
in this video, a narrator said that rich children such as in Canada love to eat chocolate, and then eat them without knowing labourers. and also the man said that child labourers in a cacao plantation apply for many of them. according to these information, you might thought following.

children in developed country bought many boxes of chocolates. after that, the number of child labourers working in a cacao plantation were increased. therefore, we can think that buying chocolates must have been the cause of increasing of child labourers there.

if you think so, it is not correct. that is an example of post hoc, ergo propter hoc. although we tend to relate the first phenomenon with the second one, it is not always correct. in this case, buying chocolate wasn't connected with the number of child labourers directly. these phenomenon were occurred separately. there is a case that the chocolate products are traded fairly from Africa. therefore, we have to care not to think so simply.

2013年7月9日火曜日

My Recommendation of the Podcast

   i recommend to you one of the podcast. the title of it is the Inside Story - HD ILO: Eliminate child labour.
   this video is made by the International Labour Organization. the ILO is a kind of organization which i introduced before when i posted as an example of a good site. the organization has an accomplishment against an elimination of child labor.
    a good point of the podcast is that there are many opinions from four different countries, Pakistan, Janeva, Islamabad and London.  after you understand basic information about the present condition of child labor, you can clearly know conditions and opinions relating to what we should do against this problem. in this pod cast, they said that one of the problem is a domestic work.

    Let's share the podcast! you might be able to increase your knowledge about child labor.

2013年7月5日金曜日

the Anecdotal Evidence in reference to child labor problem

http://www.dol.gov/ilab/media/reports/iclp/apparel/1c.htm

the upper URL is one of the examples which tells that the child labor problem does harm to many children and public on any circumstances.

Let's check it!

illustrating "anecdotal evidence" : Mny Families Depend on Forced Child Labor

 the video shows us how many people depend on child work force. there are many types of situation according to the video. the concept that i try to explain to everyone is "anecdotal evidence". this describes an proof that is based on a limited number of reported experience and observations., and then make a logical inference based on that observation. watch the video and then continue reading.




after i watched the video, these logical inferences can be thought.

1 child laborer's age is almost 8-15 years old.

2 children's parents cannot work because of illness or physical problems.

3 governments tend to avoid importing products made by children


  generally, we incline to think the age of child laborer's are 8-15 years old, but actually, it's not true. according to the BBC news, 166 million children out of 200 million children who work are under 14 years old including 5 years old. for second inference, there are parents who don't work arbitrarily because children can work enough to live, according to another video. therefore, the first and the second are incorrect information by anecdotal evidences. the information is incorrect because it is based on only one video. we need to observe more. the third inference is reliable because i understood that government tries to do so according to a good site which is proved to be a good one in a class last week. we have to care not to have misinterpretation and misunderstanding by anecdotal evidences.